MY DAILY PARAGRAPH

“Wike is going down”

“He is about to meet his Waterloo”

“Nemesis have finally caught up with the Godfather of Rivers”

So they say and believe

Because their political calculations is based on emotions

And pure wishful thinking

I mean, who doesn’t want the Downfall of a boastful Wike?

Who challenged all and sundry and won 80% of the time?

Who doesn’t like the beautiful lovely underdog story?

Of the young David pulling down the boastful arrogant Goliath?

But such fantasy is reserved for children’s books

Or exists in the beautiful world of Marvel and DC comics

Or our own dear Nollywood

Certainly not in politics

In politics

Especially the crude soulless one we play here in Nigeria

Calculations are made based on reality

Not how people feel

In the World of Reality

Nyesom Wike has Nuisance Value

And the problem with having Nuisance Value is that while it might not help you a lot

It can destroy a whole lot for you

Here’s the calculation;

For Fubara to win Wike

He needs the help of President Tinubu, who can fire Wike and send EFCC after him and his associates immediately

In contrast, Wike doesn’t need anybody’s help to deal with Fubara and the few APC Governors trying to join forces with Fubara

While Wike can deliver Tinubu in Rivers, FCT and nearby South South States by any means necessary and unnecessary, lawful and unlawful

Fubara cannot comfortably deliver Tinubu in Rivers, especially with Rotimi Amechi heading the Coalition in that region

If Tinubu favours Wike and discards Fubara, there will be very little consequences.

The worst Fubara can do is to join the Coalition.

If Tinubu favours Fubara and throws Wike under the bus

Wike will do to him, what he did to Atiku.

He will join forces with the Coalition and move his structures which is now almost nationwide, into ADC

Even if he’s in EFCC Custody by then

The financial war chest available to Wike

The network he has built across all sectors

Will just be the edge ADC needs to win the election.

Close your eyes and imagine Amechi and Wike working together against a Fubara in Rivers and other South South States

Stop imagining

It won’t happen

Because Tinubu will do what every calculative Politician will do

He will ignore Rivers State and let the strongest win.

Then work with the winner

And without Tinubu’s help

Fubara can’t win

For those who really hate Wike and desire his downfall badly

You may have to wait a little longer

Or pray for him to die overnight.

But if history is anything to rely on

It’s that men who are hated by the public

Hardly die when people want them to

Just like Buhari

My name is Zoba De Great and this is MY DAILY PARAGRAPH